“The fourth industrial revolution doesn’t always mean newer, more expensive machines. Rather it can mean better communicating with and responding to the technologies you do have… By implementing simple internet-of-things devices across a range of machines that were never intended to ‘talk’ to each other, the Depuy Synthes factory created real-time digital twins of its factory equipment to monitor performance.”
No more excuses for companies to delay IoT strategies!
5G Raises the Stakes for IoT Security
Last week’s international political news was a dramatic reminder of how inextricably linked technology progress (in this case, 5G infrastructure) and high-stakes global intrigue and even warfare have become.
The speed-up in deployment of 5G networks in the US and worldwide can both dramatically increase the IoT’s benefits (with reduced latency we’ll get a significant increase in the volume of rich, near-real-time data, allowing autonomous vehicles and other hard-to-imagine advances) but also the dangers (the possibility of China, Russia or someone else launching a cyber attack through a “back door” that could cripple our critical infrastructure). That puts the IoT right in the middle of a very tense global diplomatic and technical battle, with the outcome potentially having a big impact on the IoT’s near-term growth.
The US government’s indictment of Huawei (coming on the heels of an as-yet un-corroborated Bloomberg story that Huawei had planted chips in Apple and Amazon devices that would allow “back-door” attacks not just on the devices but on overall networks) plus a little-noticed story about yet another Chinese manufacturer of cheap IoT devices that could let a bad actor install malware in its firmware are just the latest reminders that IoT privacy and security must be designed in from the beginning, using what the EU calls “privacy by design.”
Don’t forget that we’ve already had a very real preview of exactly how dangerous this can be: the 2016 DDoS attack on Internet infrastructure company Dyn that used IoS devices with inadequate protections as its the Trojan horses to launch the attack. Much of the Internet was crippled for several hours.
It also means, as I wrote in The Future Is Smart and elsewhere that it’s not enough to design in privacy protections into your own products and services: if the public and companies lose confidence in the IoT because of an attack aimed at anyone, even the irresponsible companies that don’t worry about security, I learned during my years doing corporate crisis management that there’s an irrational but nonetheless compelling guilt-by-association phenomenon that can destroy confidence in all IoT. Is that fair? No, but that doesn’t mean it’s any less of a reality. That’s why it’s critical that you take an active role in both supporting enlightened federal policy on both 5G infrastructure and IoT regulation, especially privacy and security regulations that are performance-based, rather than descriptive (which might restrict innovation), as well as joining industry organizations working on the privacy and security issues, such as the IMC, Internet of Things Association, and IMC.
In The Future Is Smart I wrote that, counterintuitively, privacy and security can’t be bolted on after you’ve done the sexy part of designing cool new features for your IoT device or service. This news makes that even more the case. What’s required is a mind-set in which you think of privacy and security from the very beginning and then visualize the process after its initial sale as cyclical and never-ending: you must constantly monitor emerging threats and then upgrade firmware and software protections.
Previewing “The Future Is Smart”: Siemens Leads Way In IoT Transformation
Huzzah!
On August 7th, HarperCollins’ new Leadership imprint (formerly Amacom) will publish The Future Is Smart, my guide to IoT strategy for businesses and the general public. BTW: write me if you’d like to arrange a speaking engagement/book signing event!
As part of the build-up to the release, here’s another excerpt from the book, drawn from Chapter 5: “Siemens and GE:Old War Horses Leading the IoT Revolution.” It zeroes in on these two industrial companies from the 19th (!!) century that are arguably among the top IoT companies in the world (although, sadly, GE’s transformation, which I’ll detail in the next excerpt, has not resulted — so far — in a return to its former profitability). I highlighted these two companies in part to give comfort to old-line manufacturers that have been reluctant to embrace the IoT, and in part to shame them: if they can do it, why can’t you?
Siemens is a particularly exciting example, applying IoT thinking and technology to gain a competitive edge in the railroad business, which it has been involved in since the 19th century, and because its Amberg “Factory of the Future” is the epitome of the benefits of applying the IoT to manufacturing, The excerpt is long, but I think the details on Siemens’ IoT transformation will make it worthwhile reading.
For all their (referring to Siemens and GE) own distinctive products and services, there are startling parallels between the two that are relevant to this book, particularly for readers whose companies have been unaware of the IoT or are modestly testing the waters. Both Siemens and GE have fully committed to the IoT and are radically reinventing themselves, their products, and their services.
At the same time, they are not abandoning the physical for the digital: they still make products such as trains (NB: since this book went to press, GE announced it will quit to locomotive business as it struggles to regain momentum) and large medical diagnostic devices that remain necessary in the new economy, and those devices (as well as the new software lines) are used by many other companies in their own manufacturing. Both companies aren’t just testing the IoT: they are on the bleeding edge of innovation in terms of both IoT technology and services.
Siemens and GE embody most of the marks of the IoT company outlined in the first chapter:
- Unprecedented assembly-line precision and product quality
- Drastically lower maintenance costs and product failure
- Increased customer delight and loyalty
- Improved decision-making
- Creating new business models and revenue streams
And, while they haven’t formally addressed the sixth IoT hallmark, the circular management organization, both companies exhibit management characteristics consistent with it.
Bottom-line: if these two relics of the early Industrial Age can make the IoT transformation, why can’t you?
(Siemens’) innovations in industrial automation are now associated with the concept of the digital factory. “Siemens set the course for the digital automation of entire production facilities as far back as 1996, when the launch of its Totally Integrated Automation (TIA) Portal enabled companies to coordinate elements of their production operations and to closely intermesh hardware with software.”
Siemens has benefited in recent years from the German government’s formal strategy for what it calls “Industrie 4.0,” to merge physical products with digital controls and communications. The initiative is supported by funding from the German Federal Ministry of Education and Research and the German Federal Ministry of Economic Affairs and Energy and emphasizes the merger of the digital and physical in manufacturing through cyber-physical control systems. Because the U.S. federal government doesn’t weigh in on specific economic plans to the same extent, the concept is more advanced in Europe, and the term has gathered cachet, especially as specific examples have proved profitable.
Factory of the Future:
The shining example of Industrie 4.0 is the previously mentioned Siemens plant in Amberg. It has increasingly computerized over the past 25 twenty-five years, and now is a laboratory for fusion of the physical and digital.
The plant’s 99.99885 percent quality rate would be astounding by any measure, but is even more incredible when you realize that it does not do daily repetitions of the same mass-production product run. Instead, Amberg is where the company makes the Simatic programmable logic controls (PLCs) .. that are the heart of its industrial output and which are used worldwide to allow Machine-to-Machine (M2M) automated assembly line self-regulation. They are made in more than a thousand variations for 60,000 customers worldwide, requiring frequent readjustments of the production line. In one of the ultimate examples of eating your own dog food, a thousand Simatic units are used to control the assembly line. Total output at the factory is 12 million yearly, or approximately one per second.
One downside of the Amberg system’s efficiency is that automation has nearly eliminated assembly line jobs: the only time humans touch one of the products is to put the initial circuit board on the assembly line. The 1,100-person workforce deals almost entirely with computer issues and overall supervision of the assembly line. Nevertheless, Siemens doesn’t visualize a totally automated, workerless factory in the future:
“We’re not planning to create a workerless factory,” says [Plant Manager Professor Karl-Heinz] Büttner. After all, the machines themselves might be efficient, but they don’t come up with ideas for improving the system. Büttner adds that the employees’ suggested improvements account for 40 percent of annual productivity increases. The remaining 60 percent is a result of infrastructure investments, such as the purchase of new assembly lines and the innovative improvement of logistics equipment. The basic idea here, says Büttner, is that “employees are much better than management at determining what works or doesn’t work in daily operation and how processes can be optimized.” In 2013 the [plant] adopted 13,000 of these ideas and rewarded employees with payments totaling around €1 million.
As Siemens develops new IIoT software, it is deployed at the Amberg factory to control the Simatic control units, which generate more than 50 million data points daily for analysis. Among other programs, the factory runs the NX and Teamcenter project lifecycle management software, allowing the staff to share realtime insights on the assembly line and fine-tune its operation.
Siemens’s strategy of merging the physical and digital has meant that its software offerings constantly expand, and they facilitate the kind of real and virtual collaborative workstyles that will be discussed at length in Chapter 8. Among others, they include offerings that specifically address key aspects of the IoT:
- Product Lifecycle Management software programs, which let engineers both model new products and extensively test them virtually, without having to build and test physical models. This both cuts costs and allows more experimentation with “what if” variations on a design, because the risk of creating alternatives is so low. As we will see later, products designed with PLM can reach the market 50 percent faster. One particularly interesting part of the PLM offerings is one specifically for additive manufacturing (i.e., 3-D printing), to capitalize on this emerging option. Siemens has brought all of these programs together under the Teamcenter label, emphasizing that it provides an “open framework for interoperability,” a critical example of the “share the data” Essential Truth discussed in Chapter 2, allowing anyone who needs it companywide to access critical realtime data.
- Digital Twins used in coordination with PLM, discussed earlier (Chapter 4) as the highest manifestation of the digital/physical synthesis, allow rigorous testing of products before they are launched.
- Perhaps the most important of these software offerings for full realization of the Industrie 4.0 vision is the new combination of Siemens XHQ Operations Intelligence Software with the open-systems Siemens MindSphere cloud that adds advanced analytics and machine learning. Also, because it is cloud-based, the XHQ data can be ported to other cloud-based applications. If your company is considering an IoT initiative, the cloud-based alternative not only can save money compared to self-storage, but also opens the opportunity for using cloud-based Software as a Service (SaaS).
Railigent
Fittingly, some of the most dramatic examples of Siemens’s IoT thinking in action have centered on one of its oldest lines of business: those electric trains invented in the nineteenth century. The company’s Railigent system (which connects to its IoT Mindsphere platform) can:
- cut rail systems’ operating costs by up to 10%
- deliver eye-popping on-time performance (only 1 of 2,300 trains was late!)
- and assure 99% availability through predictive maintenance.
Its new Mobility Services have taken over maintenance for more than fifty rail and transit programs.
Again, the company’s years of experience building and operating trains pays off in the cyberworld. Dr. Sebastian Schoning, ceo of Siemens’s client Gehring Technologies, which manufactures precision honing tools, told me that it was easier to sell Siemens’s digital services to his own client base because so much of the products they already own include Siemens devices, giving his customers confidence in the new offerings.
The key to Siemens’s Mobility Services is Sinalytics, its platform architecture for data analysis not just for rail, but also for industries ranging from medical equipment to windfarms. More than 300,000 devices currently feed realtime data to the platform. Sinalytics capitalizes on the data for multiple uses, including connectivity, data integration, analytics, and the all-important cyber security. They call the result not Big Data, but Smart Data. The platform also allows merging the data with data from sources such as weather forecasts which, in combination, can let clients optimize operating efficiency on a real-time M2M basis.
Elements of an IoT system on the trains that can be adapted to other physical products include:
- Sensing. There are sensors on the engines and gearboxes. Vibration sensors on microphones measure noises from bearings in commuter trains. They can even measure how engine oil is aging, so it can be changed when really needed, rather than on an arbitrary schedule, a key predictive maintenance advantage.
- Algorithms: These make sense of the data and act on it. They read out patterns, record deviations, and compare them with train control systems or with vehicles of the same type.
- Predictive Maintenance: This replaces scheduled maintenance, dramatically reducing downtime and catastrophic failure. For example: “There’s a warning in one of the windows (of the control center display): engine temperature unusual. ‘We need to analyze the situation in greater depth to know what to do next—we call it root cause analysis,’ (says) Vice-President for Customer Support Herbert Padinger. ‘We look at its history and draw on comparative data from the fleet as a whole.’ Clicking on the message opens a chart showing changes in temperature during the past three months. The increased heat is gradually traced to a signal assembly. The Siemens experts talk with the customer to establish how urgent the need for action is, and then take the most appropriate steps.”8 Padinger says that temperature and vibration analyses from the critical gearboxes gives Siemens at least three days advance notice of a breakdown—plenty of time for maintenance or replacement. Predictive maintenance is now the norm for 70 to 80 percent of Siemens’s repairs.
- Security: This is especially important given all of the miles of track and large crowds on station platforms. It includes video-based train dispatch and platform surveillance using Siemens’s SITRAIL D system, as well as cameras in the trains. The protections have to run the gamut from physical attacks to cyber-attacks. For security, the data is shared by digital radio, not networks that are also shared by consumers.
When operations of physical objects are digitized, it allows seamlessly integrating emerging digital technologies into the services—making these huge engines showcases for the newest technologies. For example, Siemens Digital Services also included augmented reality (so repair personnel can see manuals on heads-up displays), social collaboration platforms, and—perhaps most important—3-D printing-based additive manufacturing, so that replacement parts can be delivered with unprecedented speed. 3-D printing also allows a dramatic reduction in parts inventories, It allows for replacement of parts that may no longer be available through conventional parts depots. It may even improve on the original part’s function and durability, based on practical experience gained from observing the parts in use. For example, it’s often possible with 3-D printed replacement parts to consolidate three or four separate components into a single one, strengthening and simplifying it. Siemens has used 3-D printing for the past last three years, and it lets them assure customers that they will have replacement parts for the locomotive’s entire lifespan, which can exceed thirty years.
The new Mobility Services approach’s results are dramatic:
- None of the Velaro trains that Siemens maintains for several operators have broken down since implementing Sinalytics. Among those in Spain only one has left more than fifteen minutes behind time in 2,300 trips: a 0.0004 percent lateness rate.
- Reliability for London’s West Coast Mainline is 99.7 percent.
- Perhaps most impressive because of the extreme cold conditions it must endure, the reliability rate for the Velaro service in Russia is 99.9 percent.11
Siemens’s ultimate goal is higher: what the company calls (pardon the pun) 100 percent Railability.
When it does reach those previously inconceivable quality benchmarks, Siemens predicts that, as the software and sensors evolve, the next stage will be new business models in which billing will be determined by guaranteeing customers availability and performance. The manufacturing industry is now at the stage where the automation of complete workflows is the only way to ensure a long-term, defendable, competitive position.
Siemens emphasizes that it’s not enough to simply digitize the design process. Everything from design through supply chain, manufacturing, distribution, and service must be linked in a continuous digital web, with “complete digital representation of the entire physical value chain is the ultimate goal.”
The fact that Siemens doesn’t just sell these IoT services but makes their own manufacturing the laboratory to develop and test them is an incredible testimonial to the IoT’s transformative potential in every aspect of companies’ operations. So, as I asked above, why are you holding back? Like to think that The Future Is Smart will give you the manual you need to make the transition (why wait for August 7, when you can preorder today?).
Live Blogging #LlveWorx ’18, Day 2
Aiden Quilligan, Accenture Industry X.0, on AI:
- Mindset and AI: must undo what Hollywood has done on this over years, pose it as human vs. machine.
- We think it should be human PLUS machine.
- he’s never seen anything move as fast as AI, especially in robotics
- now, co-bots that work along side us
- exoskeletons
- what do we mean by AI? Machine learning. AI is range of technologies that can learn and then act. AI is the “new work colleague” we need to learn to get along with.
- predictions: will generate #2.9 trillion in biz value and recover 6.2 billion hours of worker productivity in 2021.
- myths:
- 1) robots evil, coming for us: nothing inherently anti-human in them.
- 2) will take our jobs. Element of truth in terms of repetitive, boring work that will be replaced. They will fill in for retiring workers. Some new industries created by them. Believe there will be net creation of jobs.
- 3) current approaches will still work.
6 steps to the Monetization of IoT, Terry Hughes:
- Digital native companies (Uber) vs. digitally transforming companies
- also companies such as Kodak that didn’t transform at all (vs. Fujifilm, which has transformed).
- Forbes: 84% of companies have failed with at least one transformation program. Each time you fail you lose 1/2 billion
- steps:
- 1) devices with potential
- 2) cloud network communication
- 3) software distribution
- 4) partner and provider ecosystem
- 5) create a marketplace.
- 6) monetization of assets.
- crazy example of software company that still ships packages rather than just download because of initial cost in new delivery system
- 3 big software challenges for digitally transforming company
- fragmented silos of software by product, business unit & software
- messy and complex distribution channels
- often no link between software and the hardware that it relates to
- importance of an ecosystem
- Blackberry example of one that didn’t have the ecosystem
- 3rd parties will innovate and add value around a manufacturer’s core products
- in IoT it’s a land grab for mindshare of 3rd-party innovators.
- need strong developer program
- tools for app development and integration
- ease of building and publishing apps
- path to discovery and revenue for developer
- IDC: developer ecosystem allow enterprises to massively scale distribution
- digitally native companies have totally different models (will get details later…)
- hybrids:
- GE Healthcare: working with Gallus BioPharma
- Heidelberg & Eig have digital biz model for folding carton printing. Pay per use
- Ford is heading for mobility as a transformation
Bernard Marr: Why IoT, Combined With AI and Big Data, Fuels 4th Industrial Revolution
- connecting everything in house to Internet
- Spotify: their vision is they understand us better. Can correlate your activity on Apple Watch (such as spinning) & create a play list based on that)
- FitBit: the photo will estimate your calorie content.
- John Deere
- ShotSpotter: the company that monitors gun shots
- understanding customers & markets better than before:
- Facebook: better at face recognition than we are. They can predict your IQ, your relationship status.
- Lot of frightening, IMHO, examples of AI analyzing individuals and responding without consideration of ethics and privacy
- 3) improving operations and efficiency:
- self-driving boats
- drones
- medicine through Watson
panel on IoT:
- Don’t be afraid of the cloud
- Ryan Cahalane, Colfax: prepare for big, start small and move fast. They had remarkable growth with switch to IoT. Not a digital strategy, but digital in everything they do. Have “connected welders,” for example.
- Justin Hester, Hirotec: most importatnt strategic digital transformation decision your organization can make is the selection of a platform. The platform is the underlying digital thread that enables your team to meet the unique and chanding needs of your organization and to scale those solutions rapidly. “Assisted reality” in ThingWorx
- Shane O’Callahan, TSM (Ireland): Make industrial automation equipment for manufacturing. Understanding your key value driver is where to start. Then start samll, scale fast and get a win!
Jeffrey Miller, PTC: Digital Transformation:
- if you start with digital strategy you’re starting in wrong place Start with business strategy.
- Couple with innovation vision merged with digital strategy. Add business use cases.
- Jobs: it’s not how much you spend on R & D, but “about the people you have, you you’re dled, and how much you get it”
- create an environment for innovation
- do we encourage experimentation?
- is it ok to fail
- identify digital technologies to provide the required operating capabilities:
- have we conducted proofs of concept?
- experimented, tested and validated?
- reviewed use cases & success studies?
- delivered small, important, scalable successes?
Matt, PTC: Bringing Business Value to AR:
- augmented service guidance
- remote expert guidance
- manufacturing: machine setup and turnover, assembly and process
- example of Bell & Howell towers to store online sales in WalMart stores for customer pickup: very expensive to send one to a store for salesperson to use in sales — now just use AR app to give realistic demo without expense.
- service: poor documentation organization, wants accurate, relevant, onsite info for technician. Want to remove return visits because the repair wasn’t done 1st time, or there’s a new technician. Manuals in binders, etc. Instead, with AR, requirements are quick access to current info. Finally, a demo.
Suchitra Bose, Accenture: Manufacturing IIoT, Driving the Speed of Digital Manufacturing:
- convergence of IT and OT
- expanding digital footprint across your entire factory
- PTC has wide range of case studies (“use cases” in biz speak…) on aspects of IoT & manufacturing.
Wahoo! Liveblogging #Liveworx ’18!
Always my fav event, I’ll be liveblogging #LiveWorx ’18. Stay tuned!
Keynote: Jim Heppelmann:
- “from a place to a pace” — how fast are we moving?
- no longer OK to think of a future destination, builds inertia (“your main competitor”). Disruption may have already happened. Hard to sustain advantage due to pace of change. Must “embrace a pace of change”
- Um, this sounds like argument for my circular company paradigm shift!!!
- Customer Experience Center will occupy top floor of new building.
- combo of physical, human and digital — transforming all at once speeds change:
- physical: been constrained by subtractive manufacturing, while nature improves via cell division (i.e., additive). “Adopt Mother Nature’s mindset.” — new additive aspects of Creo. Example of Triumph cycle sing-arm using additive. CREO uses AI to optimize performance: non-symmetrical design. Still need to use simulation tests: new intermittent, continuous style: they are doing new partnership with ANSYS (product simulation software), unified modeling and simulation with no gaps. Historically, simulation only used at end of design cycle, now can use it throughout the process: “pervasive simulation.”
- ANSYS “Discovery Live”: optimizes for real-time. Integrates with Creo — instant feedback on new designs. “simulation critical to innovation.”
- digital: working with Microsoft Azure (Rodney Clark, Microsoft IoT VP). Microsoft investing $5b in IoT. 1st collaboration is an industrial welder: IoT data optimizes productivity. BAE can train new employees 30-40% quicker.
- finally, human: “Mother Nature designed ups to interface with the physical. How do we integrate with the digital? — Siri, Alexa, Cortna still too slow. Sight is our best bet. “Need direct pipeline to reality ” — that’s AR. “Smart, connected humans.” Sysmex: for medical lab analysis. Hospitals need real-time access to blood cell analysis. They have real-time calibration of analysis equipment. Also improving knowledge of the support techs, using AR and digital twins when repairs are needed.
- Will help 2.5 billion workers become more productive
- AR can project how a process is being programmed (gotta see this one. will try to get video).
- All of their human/digital interface initiatives united under Vuforia. Already have 10,000 enterprises using it.
- Factories are a new focus of PTC. 200 companies now using it in 800 factories. Examples from Woodward & Colfax. Big savings on new employee training.
- physical: been constrained by subtractive manufacturing, while nature improves via cell division (i.e., additive). “Adopt Mother Nature’s mindset.” — new additive aspects of Creo. Example of Triumph cycle sing-arm using additive. CREO uses AI to optimize performance: non-symmetrical design. Still need to use simulation tests: new intermittent, continuous style: they are doing new partnership with ANSYS (product simulation software), unified modeling and simulation with no gaps. Historically, simulation only used at end of design cycle, now can use it throughout the process: “pervasive simulation.”
Keynote: Prof. Linda Hill, HBS, “Collective Genius”:
- Innovation= novel + useful
- Example of Pixar: collective genius “filmmaking is a team sport.”
- 3 characteristics of creative organizations they looked at:
- “creative abrasion” — diversity and debate
- “creative agility” — quickly test the idea & get feedback. Experiment rather than run pilots, which often include politics
- “creative resolution” — ability to make integrative decisions. Don’t necessarily defer to the experts.
- sense of community and shared purpose.
- values: bold ambition, collaboration, responsibility, learning.
- rules of engagement: respect, trust, influence, see the whole, question everything, be data-driven.
Ray Miciek, Aquitas Solutions. Getting Started on IoT-based Maintenance:
- his company specializes in asset maintenance.
- “produce products with assets that never fail”
- 82% of all asset failures are random, because they are more IT-related now
- find someplace in org. where you could gain info to avoid failure.
- Can start small, then quickly expand.
Previewing “The Future Is Smart”: 1) Collective Blindness and the IoT
This is the first of an occasional series of posts preceding the August 1st publication of The Future Is Smart. The book will introduce the Internet of Things to business audiences and help them create affordable, profitable strategies to revolutionize their products, services, and even their very way of doing business through the IoT. Each post will excerpt part of the book, giving you enough detail to be informative, but not — LOL — complete enough that you’ll be able to skip buying the book itself!
The critical point the book makes about revising your products and services to capitalize on the IoT is that it’s not enough to simply install sensors and beef up your data analysis: equally important are fundamental attitudinal shifts to break free from the limits of past technology and realize the IoT’s full capability.
A critical component is what I call “Collective Blindness,” a way of describing how limited we were in understanding how products actually ran in the era when we had almost no data about their operations, let alone real-time data that we (or other machines, through M2M controls) could act on instantly to create feedback loops and improve operating precision and facilitate upgrades.
Let me know what you think (after an horrific hack, I’ve decided to scrap comments on the blog — if I think it’s merited, I’ll feature your feedback in future posts)!
Technologist Jeffrey Conklin has written of “wicked problems” that are so complex they aren’t even known or detailed until solutions to them are found.
What if there had been a wicked problem, a universal human malady that we’ll call “Collective Blindness,” whose symptoms were that we humans simply could not see much of what was happening in the material world? We could only see the surface of these things, while their interiors and actual operations were impenetrable to us. For millennia we just came up with coping mechanisms to work around the problem of not being able to peer inside things, which we accepted as reality.
Collective Blindness was a stupendous obstacle to full realization of a whole range of human and business activities. But, of course, we couldn’t quantify the problem’s impact because we weren’t even aware that it existed.
In fact, Collective Blindness has been a reality, because vast areas of our daily reality have been unknowable and we have accepted those limits as a condition of reality.
For example, in a business context:
- We couldn’t tell when a key piece of machinery was going to fail due to metal fatigue.
- We couldn’t tell how efficiently an assembly line was operating, or how to fully optimize its performance by having changes in one machine trigger adjustments in the next one.
- We couldn’t tell whether or when a delivery truck would be stuck in traffic, or for how long.
- We couldn’t tell exactly when we’d need a parts resupply shipment from a supplier. (Let’s be honest: What we’ve called “just-in-time” in the past was hopelessly inexact compared to what we’ll be able to do in the future.) Nor would the supplier know exactly when to do a new production run in order to be ready.
- We couldn’t tell how customers actually used our products once they were in the field, or help those customers adjust operations to make them more efficient.
That’s all changing now.
The wicked problem of Collective Blindness is ending, because the Internet of Things solves it, giving us real-time information about what’s happening inside things.
The Internet of Things will affect and improve every aspect of business, because it will allow us to eliminate all of those blind spots resulting from Collective Blindness, achieve efficiency, and derive insights that were impossible before.
Cisco, which focuses not only on the IoT’s enabling technologies but also on the management issues it will address, understands the Collective Blindness concept. It refers to previously opaque and unconnected things as “dark assets,” and says that, “The challenge is to know which dark assets (unconnected things) to light up (connect) and then capture, analyze, and use the data generated to improve efficiency while working smarter.”
PTC has created the most literal cure for Collective Blindness: Vuforia, an AR system that lets an operator or repair person wearing an AR headset or using a tablet to go from looking at the exterior of a Caterpillar front-end loader to “seeing” an exploded view of the system that shows each part and how they connect as well as monitoring the realtime performance data of each component, gathered by sensors on the machinery. That insight can also be shared, in real-time, by others who need it.
You may quibble with my choice of the “Collective Blindness” metaphor for the obstacles we and businesses in general, faced before the IoT, but I do think we need some sweeping description of exactly how limited we used to be because the acceptance of those limits, and our inability to “see” how things really did restrict our ability to fine-tone products and their operation — and even now may keep us from re-examining everything now that we have gained this ability. Let me know your thoughts on this — and I hope you’ll stay tuned for more excerpts from The Future Is Smart in coming months.
Great Podcast Discussion of #IoT Strategy With Old Friend Jason Daniels
Right after I submitted my final manuscript for The Future is Smart I had a chance to spend an hour with old friend Jason Daniels (we collaborated on a series of “21st Century Homeland Security Tips You Won’t Hear From Officials” videos back when I was a homeland security theorist) on his “Studio @ 50 Oliver” podcast.
We covered just about every topic I hit in the book, with a heavy emphasis on the attitude shifts (“IoT Essential Truths” needed to really capitalize on the IoT and the bleeding-edge concept I introduce at the end of the book, the “Circular Corporation,” with departments and individuals (even including your supply chain, distribution network and customers, if you choose) in a continuous, circular management style revolving around a shared real-time IoT hub. Hope you’ll enjoy it!
Human Side of IoT: Local Startup Empowers Forgotten Shop Floor Workers!
Let’s not forget: human workers can and must still pay a role in the IoT!
Sure, the vast majority of IoT focus is on large-scale precision and automated manufacturing (Industrie 4.0 as it is known in Germany, or the Industrial Internet here). However, an ingenious local startup, Tulip, is bringing IoT tools to the workbench and shop floor, empowering individual industrial engineers to create no-code, low-code apps that can really revolutionize things in the factory. Yes, many jobs will be replaced by IoT tech, but with Tulip, others will be “enabled” — workers will still be there to make decisions, and they’ll be empowered as never before.
Um, I’m thinking superhuman factory Transformers, LOL!
The Tulip IoT gateway allows anyone to add sensors, tools, cameras and even “pick to light bins” (never heard that bit of shop lingo, but they looked cool in video) to the work station, without writing a line of code, because of the company’s diverse drivers support factory floor devices. It claims to “fill the gap between rigid back-end manufacturing IT systems and the dynamic operations taking place on the shop floor.”
Rony Kubat, the young MIT grad who’s the company’s co-founder is on a mission “to revolutionize manufacturing software,” as he says, because people who actually have to play a hands-on roll in product design and production on shop floor have been ignored in the IoT, and many processes such as training are still paper-based:
“Manufacturing software needs to evolve. Legacy applications neglect the human side of manufacturing and therefore suffer from low adoption. The use of custom, expensive-to-maintain, in-house solutions is rampant. The inability of existing solutions to address the needs of people on the shop floor is driving the proliferation of paper-based workflows and the use of word processing, spreadsheet and presentation applications as the mainstay of manufacturing operations. Tulip aims to change all this through our intuitive, people-centric platform. Our system makes it easy for manufacturers to connect hands-on work processes, machines and backend IT systems through flexible self-serve manufacturing apps”.
While automation in factory floors continues to grow, manufacturers often find their hands-on workforce left behind, using paper and legacy technology. Manufacturers are seeing an enormous need to empower their workforce with intuitive digital tools. Tulip is a solution to this problem. Front-line engineers create flexible shop-floor apps that connect workers, machines and existing IT systems. These apps guide shop-floor operations enabling real-time data collection and making that data useful to workers on factory floors. Tulip’s IoT gateway integrates the devices, sensors and machines on the shop floor, making it easy to monitor and interact with previously siloed data streams (you got me there: I HATE siloed data). The platform’s self-serve analytics engine lets manufacturers turn this data into actionable insights, supporting continuous process improvement.
The company has grown quickly, and has dozens of customers in fields as varied as medical devices, pharma, and aerospace. The results are dramatic and quite varied:
- Quality: A Deloitte analysis of Tulip’s use at Jabil, a global contract manufacturer, documented 10+% production increases. It reduced quality issues in manual assembly by more than 10%. found production yield increased by more than 10 percent, and manual assembly quality issues were reduced by 60 percent in the initial four weeks of operation.
- Training: Other customers reduced the amount of time to train new operators by 90 percent, in a highly complicated, customized and regulated biopharmaceutical training situation: “Previously, the only way to train new operators was to walk them repeatedly through all the steps with an experienced operator and a process engineer. Tulip quickly deployed its software along with IoT gateways for the machines and devices on the process, and managed to cut training time almost by half.”
- Time to Market: They reduced a major athletic apparel maker’s time to market by 50% for hundreds of new product variations. That required constantly evaluating the impact of dozens of different quality drivers to isolate defects’ root causes — including both manual and automated platforms. Before Tulip, it could take weeks of analysis until a process was ready for production. According to the quality engineer on the project, “I used Tulip’s apps to communicate quality issues to upstream operators in real-time. This feedback loop enabled the operators to take immediate corrective action and prevent additional defects from occurring.”
Similar to my friends at Mendix, the no-code/low-code aspect of Tulip’s Manufacturing App Platform lets process engineers without programming backgrounds create shop floor apps through interactive step-by-step work instructions. “The apps give you access through our cloud to an abundance of information and real-time analytics that can help you measure and fine-tune your manufacturing operations,” Tulip Co-Founder Natan Linder says (the whiz-kid is also chairman of 3-D printer startup Formlabs).
Linder looked at analytics apps that let users create apps through simple tools and thought why not provide the same kind of tools for training technicians on standard operating procedures or for building product or tracking quality defects? “This is a self-service tool that a process or quality engineer can use to build apps. They can create sophisticated workflows without writing code…. Our cloud authoring environment basically allows you to just drag and drop and connect all the different faucets and links to create a sophisticated app in minutes, and deploy it to the floor, without writing code,” he says. Tulip enables sharing appropriate real-time analytics with each team member no matter where they are and to set up personal alerts for the data that’s relevant to each.
IMHO, this is a perfect example of my IoT “Essential Truth” of “empowering every worker with real-time data.” Rather than senior management parceling out (as they saw fit) the little amount of historical data that was available in the past, now workers can share (critical verb) that data instantly and combine it with the horse sense that can only be gained by those actually doing the work for years. Miracles will follow!
Writ large, the benefits of empowering shop floor workers are potentially huge. According to the UK Telegraph, output can increase 8-9 %, while cutting costs 7-8%, cutting costs approximately 7-8 percent. The same research estimates that industrial companies “could see as much as a 300 basis point boost to their bottom line.”
Examples of the relevant shop-floor analytics include:
- “Show real-time metrics from the shop floor
- Report trends in your operations
- Send customized alerts based on user defined triggers
- Inform key stakeholders with relevant data”
IDC Analyst John Santagate neatly sums up the argument for empowering workers through the IoT thusly:
“With all of the talk and concern around the risk of losing the human element in manufacturing, due to the increasing use of robotics, it is refreshing to see a company focus on improving the work that is still done by human hands. We typically hear the value proposition of deploying robots and automation of improvements to efficiency, quality, and consistency. But what if you could achieve these improvements to your manufacturing process by simply applying analytics and technology to the human effort? This is exactly what they are working on at Tulip.
“Data analytics is typically thought about at the machine level. Manufacturers measure things such as throughput, efficiency, and quality by applying sensors to their manufacturing equipment, capturing the data signals, and conducting analytics. The analytics provide an understanding of the health of the manufacturing process and enable them to make any necessary changes to improve the process. Often, such efforts are top down driven. Management drives these projects in order to improve the performance of the business. An alternative approach is to enable the production floor to proactively identify improvement opportunities and take action, a bottom-up approach. For this self-service approach to succeed shop-floor engineers need a flexible platform such as Tulip’s, that allows them to replace paper-based processes with technology and build the applications that enable them to manage hands-on processes. The real time analytics and visibility of hands-on manufacturing processes from Tulip’s platform puts the opportunity to identify improvement opportunities directly in the hands of people engaged in the work cells.
“Digital transformation in manufacturing is about leveraging advanced digital technology to improve how a company operates. But, as the manufacturing industry focuses on digital transformation it must not forget the value of the human element. Indeed, we don’t often think about digital transformation in relation to human effort, but this is exactly the sort of thinking that can deliver some of the early wins in digital transformation. “
Well said — and thanks to Tulip for filling a critical and often overlooked aspect of the IoT!
I’m reminded of my old friend Steve Clay-Young, who managed the BAC’s shop in Boston, and first alerted me to the “National Home- workshop Guild” which Popular Science started in the Depression and then played a critical part in the war effort. Craftsmen who belonged all got plans and turned out quality products on their home lathes. I can definitely see a rebirth of the concept as the cost of 3-D printers from Kubat’s other startup, Formlabs drops, and we can have the kind of home (or at least locally-based production that Eric Drexler dreamed of in his great Engines of Creation (which threw in another transformational production technology, nanotech).
I’m clearing space in my own workshop so I can begin production on IoT/nanotech/3-D printed products. Move over, GE.
#IoT Sensor Breakthroughs When Lives Are On the Line!
One of my unchanging principles is always to look to situations where there’s a lot at stake — especially human lives — for breakthroughs in difficult issues.
Exhibit A of this principle for the IoT is sensor design, where needing to frequently service or recharge critical sensors that detect battlefield conditions can put soldiers’ lives at stake (yes, as long-time readers know, this is particularly of interest to me because my Army officer son was wounded in Iraq).
FedTech reports encouraging research at DARPA on how to create sensors that have ultra-low power requirements, can lie dormant for long periods of time and yet are exquisitely sensitive to critical changes in conditions (such as vehicle or troop movements) that might put soldiers at risk in battlefield conditions.
The N-ZERO (Near Zero RF and Power Operations) program is a three-year initiative to create new, low-energy battlefield sensors, particularly for use at forward operating bases where conditions can change quickly and soldiers are constantly at risk — especially if they have to service the sensors:
“State-of-the-art military sensors rely on “active electronics” to detect vibration, light, sound or other signals for situational awareness and to inform tactical planning and action. That means the sensors constantly consume power, with much of that power spent processing what often turns out to be irrelevant data. This power consumption limits sensors’ useful lifetimes to a few weeks or months with even the best batteries and has slowed the development of new sensor technologies and capabilities. The chronic need to service or redeploy power-depleted sensors is not only costly and time-consuming but also increases warfighter exposure to danger.”
…. (the project has) the goal of developing the technological foundation for persistent, event-driven sensing capabilities in which the sensor can remain dormant, with near-zero power consumption, until awakened by an external trigger or stimulus. Examples of relevant stimuli are acoustic signatures of particular vehicle types or radio signatures of specific communications protocols. If successful, the program could extend the lifetime of remotely deployed communications and environmental sensors—also known as unattended ground sensors (UGS)—from weeks or months to years.”
A key goal is a 20-fold battery size reduction while still having the sensor last longer.
What cost-conscious pipeline operators, large ag business or “smart city” transportation director wouldn’t be interested in that kind of product as well?
According to Signal, the three-phase project is ahead of its targets. In the first part, which ended in December, the DARPA team created “zero-power receivers that can detect very weak signals — less than 70 decibel-milliwatt radio-frequency (RF) transmissions, a measure that is better than originally expected.” This is critical to the military (and would have huge benefits to business as well, since monitoring frequently must be 24/7 but reporting of background data (vs. significant changes) would both deplete batteries while requiring processing of huge volumes of meaningless data). Accordingly, a key goal would be to create “… radio receivers that are continuously alert for friendly radio transmissions, but with near zero power consumption when transmissions are not present.” A target is “exploitation of the energy in the signal signature itself to detect and discriminate the events of interest while rejecting noise and interference. This requires the development of passive or event-powered sensors and signal-processing circuitry. The successful development of these techniques and components could enable deployments of sensors that can remain “off” (that is, in a state that does not consume battery power), yet alert for detecting signatures of interest, resulting in greatly extended durations of operation.”
The “exploitation of .. energy in the signal signature itself sounds reminiscent of the University of Washington research I’ve reported in the past that would harness ambient back-scatter to allow battery-less wireless transmission, another key potential advance in IoT sensor networks.
The following phrases of N-ZERO will each take a year.
Let’s hope that the project is an overall success, and that the end products will also be commercialized. I’ve always felt sensor cost and power needs were potential IoT Achilles’ heels, so that would be a major boost!
IoT: LiveBlogging PTC’s LiveWorx
Got here a little late for CEO Jim Heppelman’s keynote, so here goes!
- Vuforia: digital twin gives you everything needed for merging digital “decorations” on the physical object
- Unique perspective: AR takes digital back to the physical. Can understand & make better decisions.
- Virtual reality would allow much of the same. Add in 3-D printing, etc.
- “IoT is PLM.” Says PTC might be only company prepared to do both.
- Says their logo captures the merger of digital and physical.
- Case studies: they partnered with Bosch’s Rexroth division. Cytropac built-in IoT connectivity– used Creo. Full life-cycle management. Can identify patterns of usage, etc. Using PTC’s analytics capacity, machine learning analysis. Want to improve cooling efficiency (it was high at first). Model-based digital twin to monitor product in field, then design an upgrade. How can they increase cooling efficiency 30%?? Came up with new design to optimize water channel that they will build in using 3-D printing. Cool (literally!). 43% increase in cooling efficiency. The design change results in new recommendation engine that helps in sales. Replaced operating manual with 3-D that anyone can understand. (BTW: very cool stagecraft: Heppelmann walks around stage interviewing the Rexroth design team at their workstations).
- Ooh: getting citizen developers involved!!! Speeds process, flexibility. App shows how products are actually operating in the field. Lets sales be much more proactive in field. Reinventing CRM. May no longer need a physical showroom — just put on the AR headset.
- Connectivity between all assets. The digital twin is identical, not fraternal. Brings AR into factory. They can merge new manufacturing equipment with legacy ones that didn’t have connectivity. ABB has cloud-based retrofit sensors. Thingworx can connect almost anything, makes Industry 4.0 possible. Amazing demo of a simulated 3-D disassembly and replacement.
- Hmmm — closing graphic of his preso is a constantly rotating circular one. Anticipating my “circular company” talk on Wednesday????
Closing the Loop With Enterprise Change Management. Lewis Lawrence of Weatherford, services to petroleum industry:
- former engineer. In charge of Weatherford’s Windchill installation (they also use Creo).
- hard hit by the drop in gas prices
- constant state of flux
- 15 years of constant evolution
- their mantra: design anywhere, build anywhere.
- enterprise change — not just engineering.
- hmmm: according to his graphics, their whole change process is linear. IMHO, that’s obsolete in era of constant change: must evolve to cyclical. Ponderous process…
- collect data: anything can be added, if it’s latest
The IoT Can Even Help You Breathe Better: GCE Group’s Zen-O portable oxygen concentrator for people with respiratory problems (not actually launched yet):
- InVMA has built IoT application using ThingWorx to let patients, docs and service providers carefully monitor data
- GCE made radical change from their traditional business in gas control devices. Zen-O is in the consumer markets. They were very interested in connected products — especially since their key competitor launched one!
- Goals: predictive maintenance, improved patient care, asset management, development insight.
- Design process very collaborative, with many partners.
The Digital Value Chain: GE’s Manufacturing Journey. Robert Ibe, global IT Engineering Leader at GE Industrial Solutions:
- supports Brilliant Factory program.
- they design and manufacture electrical distribution equipment, 30 factories worldwide.
- “wing-to-wing” integrated process
- had a highly complex, obsolete legacy
- started in 2014: they were still running really old CAD technology. 14 CAD repositories that didn’t talk to each other. 15 year old PLM software. No confidence in any of data they had.
- They began change with PLM — that’s where the digital thread begins. PLM is foundation for their transformation.
- PLM misunderstood: use it to map out cohesive, cross-functional, model-based strategy. Highlight relevance of “design anywhere — manufacture anywhere.” Make PLM master of your domain. Make it critical to commercial & manufacturing. Advertise benefits & value.
- Whole strategy based on CAD. Windchill heart of the process.
- Rate of implementation faster than business can keep up with!
- Process: implementation approach:
- design systems integration
- model-based design
- digital thread
- manufacturing productivity.
- common enterprise PLM framework
- within Windchill, can see entire “digital bill of documents.”
- focused on becoming critical for supply chain.
- total shift from their paper-based legacy.
- integrated regulatory compliance with every step of design.
It’s Not Your Grandmother’s IoT: Blockchain and IoT Morph Into An Emerging Technology Powerhouse:
- Example of claims for fair-traded coffee that I’ve used in past
Finding Business Value in IoT panel:
- Bayer — been in IoT (injection devices for medicine) for 7 years. Reduced a lot of parts inventory.
- Remote control of vending machines replaces paper & pencil
- Your team needs to evangelize for biz benefits of IoT
- New Opportunities:
- vision and language
- interacting with physical world
- problem solving.
- Didn’t know! Skype can do real-time translation.
- Google Deep Mind team worked internally, cut energy costs at its server farms. 15% energy reduction.
- Digital progress makes economic pie bigger, BUT most people aren’t benefitting economicallly. Some may be worse off. “Great decoupling” — mushrooming economic gap. One reason is that tech affects different groups differently.
- “Entirely possible to create inclusive prosperity” through tech!
WEDNESDAY
Delivering Smart City Solutions and an Open Citywide Platform to Accelerate Economic Growth and Promote New Solution Innovation, Scott McCarley, PTC:
- $40 trillion potential benefits from smart cities
- 1st example & starting point for many cities, is smart lightpoles. Major savings plus value added. Real benefit is building on that, with systems of systems (water, traffic, energy, etc.) — the systems don’t operate in isolation.
- Future buildings may have built-in batteries to add to power supply. Water reclamation, etc.
- Cities are focused on KPIs across all target markets.
- Cornerstone systems for a city: power & grid, water/wastewater, building management, city services & infrastructure.
- Leveraging ThingWorx to address these needs:
- deploy out-of-box IoT solutions from a ThingWorx Solution Provider: All examples, include Aquamatix, DEPsys (grid), Sensus, All Traffic, Smoove (bike sharing).
- leverage ThingWorx to rapidly develop new IoT solutions.
connect to any device, rapidly develop applications, visually model systems, quickly develop new apps. Augmented reality will play a role! - create role-based dashboards:
one for your own operations, another for city. - bring the platform to create a citywide platform.
Sum of connected physical assets, communication networks, and smart city solutions.
Digital Supply Networks: The Smart Factory. Steven Shepley, Deloitte:
- 3 types of systems: 1) foundational visualization solutions: KPIs, etc. 2) advanced analytical solutions 3) cyber-physical solutions.
- Priority smart factory solutions:
- advanced planning (risk-adjusted MRP), dynamic sequencing, cross network.
- value chain integration: signal-based customer/supplies integration, dynamic distribution routing/tracking, digital twin.
- asset efficiency: predictive maintenance, real-time asset tracking intelligence, energy management
- labor productivity: robotic and cognitive automation, augmented reality-driven efficiency, real-time safety monitoring
- exponential tech: 3-D printing, drones, flexible robots.
- How to be successful: think big, start small, scale fast
- Act differently: multi-disciplinary teams,
- sensors getting simpler, easier to connect & retrofit. National Connectors particularly good.
Global Smart Home, Smart Enterprise, and Smart Cities IoT Use Cases. Ken Herron, Unified InBox, Pte.
- new focus on customer
- H2M: human to machine communication is THE key to IoT success. Respect their interests.
- Austin TX: “robot whisperer” — industrial robot company. Their robots aging out, getting out of tune, etc. Predictive analytics anticipates problems.
- Stuttgart: connected cow — if one cow is getting sick, may spread to entire herd. Intervene.
- Kuala Lumpur: building bot — things such as paper towel dispensers communicating with management.
- London: Concierge chatbot — shopper browsing can chat with assistant on combining outfits.
- Dubai: smart camera. Help find your car in mega-shopping center: read license plates, message the camera, it gives you map to the car.
- Singapore: Shout — for natural disasters. Walks the person making the alert through process, confirms choices.
- Stuttgart: Feinstaubalarm — occasional very bad airborne dust at certain times. Tells people with lung problems options, such as taking mass transit.
- Singapore: Smart appliances — I always thought smart fridge was stupid, but in-fridge camera that lets you shoot a “shelfie” does make sense
- Fulda Germany: smart clothing for military & police: full record of personal health at the moment. Neat!
- Noida India — smart sneakers can automatically post your run results (see connection to my SmartAging concept)
Business Impact of IoT, Eric Schaeffer, Accenture:
- Michelin delivery trucks totally reinvented, major fuel savings, other benefits.
- manufacturing being deconstructed
- smart, connected products are causing it
- industrial companies must begin transformation today
Thingworx: Platform for Management Revolution. W. David Stephenson, Stephenson Strategies:
Here are key points from my presentation about how the IoT can allow radical transformation from linear & hierarchical companies to IoT-centric “circular companies” (my entire presentation can be found here):
- The IoT can be the platform for dramatic management change that was impossible in the past.
- Making this change requires an extraordinary shift in management thinking: from hierarchy to collaboration.
- The results will be worth the effort: not only more efficiency & precision, but also new creativity, revenue streams, & customer loyalty.
- In short, it will allow total transformation!
Kickstarting America’s Digital Transformation. Aneesh Chopra & Nicholas Thompson!
- on day one, Our President (not the buffoon) told Chopra he wanted default to be switch from closed to open government & data.
- National Wireless Initiative: became law 1 yr. after it was introduced. Nationwide interoperable, secure wireless system.
- Obama wanted to harness power of Internet to grow the economy. Talked to CIO of P & G, who was focused on opening up the company to get ideas from outside.
- Thompson big on open data, but he thinks a lot more now is closed, we’re going wrong way.
- Interesting example of getting down cost of solar to $1 per installed watt!!
- Thompson: growing feeling that technology isn’t serving us economically. Chopra: need to democratize the benefits.
- Chopra talking about opening up Labor Dept. data to lead to creative job opportunities for underserved.